Outcome Independence: A Framework To Find Success In Every Result

Christian A. Schröder
8 min readJun 20, 2023


Summary: Consensus agrees that an outcome is either successful or it is unsuccessful. You either achieve the results you aspire to, or you fail. However, framing a situation so that each possible result has a significant benefit for you can lead to a status that I call outcome independence. This framework transforms outcomes that are uncertain and beyond your control into positive results, such that you’ll benefit whatever the outcome. This way, you can multiply the sources of positive boosts, becoming outcome independent, invulnerable, and happier. Caution is needed: this approach is not an excuse for complacency about subpar performance when results are within your control. Instead, it is a powerful tool to thrive amidst uncertainty, still striving for excellence where you have agency.

Finding Success In Every Result

“Shoot for the moon, even if you miss, you’ll land among the stars.” (Norman Vincent Peale)

Source: Okay Gordon | pixabay.com

Success can be found in every result by putting value into perceived bad outcomes beforehand. The idea is to preempt the worst case scenario, and realize that it too could bring value to your life. Then, you can craft ways to optimize these worst case scenarios or create outcome trees in which each outcome is beneficial. Once you master the technique, you will win no matter what.

To implement the outcome independence framework, you must foster awareness of all the possible paths. You must not only plan for the unexpected, but make sure to find the value each path could provide.

Preempting Defeat

One way to achieve outcome independence is to invest in the opposite of what you’re hoping for in a situation where you completely lack control of the outcome of your bet. This may sound counterintuitive, but it’s a powerful way to ensure that you come out ahead no matter what happens.

For example, if you’re a die-hard sports fan and your favorite team is playing in the finals, you might be tempted to bet on them. However, by placing a bet on the opposing team, you create a win-win situation for yourself. If your team wins, you’ll be ecstatic, and if they lose, you’ll still have a reason to celebrate — your successful bet. You are very unlikely to know what the results of a game will be, but you can guarantee that you’ll benefit whatever they are.

Preempting Rejection

Another way to embrace outcome independence is to have a backup plan in case things don’t work out as you hoped in a situation where you haven’t had the time or the tools to ensure your desired results. By preparing for the worst, you can ensure that you still have a positive experience, even if you don’t achieve your initial goal.

Suppose you’re planning to ask someone out on a date. Instead of letting a potential rejection ruin your day, make plans with a friend to grab drinks or do something fun if the person you’re interested in declines your invitation. This way, no matter the outcome, you still have a great time lined up.

Remember, however, that outcome independence thrives on uncertain outcomes. If you can influence the result positively through your actions, then by all means, you should. It’s about optimizing the uncontrollable, not relinquishing control over what’s in our hands. Putting in time to connect, showing interest, and making someone feel special will significantly increase your chances of a ‘yes.’

Preempting Conditions

Sometimes, external factors such as the weather, roadblocks, or an accident, can throw a wrench in your plans. However, by being prepared for these potential obstacles, you can still find success in any situation.

Imagine you’re hosting an outdoor party. While you may be hoping for sunny weather, it’s wise to have a backup plan in case it rains. By preparing an indoor space with movies, games, or other activities, you can ensure that your guests have a great time, regardless of the weather.

Source: rudall30 | iStock

So, the key to finding success in every result lies in embracing the outcome independence mentality, a framework that can be used in situations where you lack control or foresight on the outcome. By preemptively investing in the opposite of your desired outcome, creating backup plans for potential rejections, and preparing for external conditions that may disrupt your plans, you can create a win-win scenario for yourself in any situation. This approach not only ensures that you always find a positive experience, but it also helps you maintain a resilient and adaptable mindset, ready to face any challenges that come your way.

However, it’s essential to differentiate between outcomes within our control and those beyond it. Outcome independence works in the realm of uncertainty, when we face scenarios we can’t directly influence. Be wary of applying this mindset to situations squarely within your control. Misused, outcome independence could become a crutch, excusing laziness or low performance. The goal isn’t to dismiss the importance of effort and aspiration. Instead, it’s about learning to navigate the unpredictable, extracting benefit from whatever life throws at us.

Benefits of Outcome Independence

Adopting an outcome-independent mindset has numerous benefits, including taking more risks, constantly winning, and expanding your opportunity universe. Not only can it help you find success in any situation, but it can also lead to a happier and more fulfilling life.

The benefits of outcome independence create a feedback loop!

More risks

Embracing an outcome-independent mindset encourages you to take more risks.

When you’re no longer afraid of failure, you become more willing to step out of your comfort zone and seize opportunities that you might otherwise have avoided. This willingness to take risks can lead to significant personal and professional growth.

The benefits of taking more risks include:

  • Personal growth: By challenging yourself and stepping out of your comfort zone, you can discover new interests, strengths, and talents that you might not have known you possessed.
  • Increased creativity: Taking risks can encourage you to think outside the box and explore unconventional solutions to problems, which can lead to innovative breakthroughs.
  • Enhanced problem-solving skills: When you take risks, you’re likely to encounter new challenges, which can help you develop better problem-solving skills and resilience in the face of adversity.
  • Greater self-confidence: Successfully navigating risky situations can boost your self-esteem and belief in your own abilities.

Always winning

With an outcome-independent mindset, you can redefine what success means to you.

Instead of focusing solely on achieving specific goals, you can learn to see the value in every outcome, even those that may initially seem negative or disappointing. This way, you can always find a reason to celebrate, regardless of the result.

The benefits of always winning include:

  • Increased motivation: When you view every outcome as a win, you’re more likely to stay motivated and engaged, even when things don’t go according to plan.
  • Reduced stress: By focusing on the positive aspects of each outcome, you can reduce the stress associated with failures and setbacks.
  • Improved mental well-being: Constantly finding reasons to celebrate can improve your overall mental well-being and help you maintain a positive outlook on life.
  • Enhanced adaptability: Always winning allows you to quickly adjust and adapt to new situations, making you more resilient and better equipped to handle challenges.

Expand your opportunity universe

Adopting an outcome-independent mindset can significantly expand your opportunity universe, which is the set of all opportunities available to you.

By focusing on the positive aspects of every outcome, you’re more likely to recognize and seize a wider range of possibilities.

The benefits of expanding your opportunity universe include:

  • Diverse experiences: When you’re open to a broader range of opportunities, you can enjoy a richer and more diverse life experience, which can lead to personal growth and increased satisfaction.
  • More meaningful connections: Expanding your opportunity universe can expose you to new people, ideas, and perspectives, helping you build more meaningful relationships and connections.
  • Enhanced problem-solving skills: As you encounter new opportunities, you’ll be faced with new challenges, which can help you develop better problem-solving skills and resilience in the face of adversity.
  • Increased potential for success: By exploring more opportunities, you increase the likelihood of finding the right path for your personal and professional goals, leading to a higher chance of success in the long run.
Source: Alexyz3d | iStock | Watch your opportunity universe expand by adopting outcome independence.

By focusing on the benefits of taking more risks, always winning, and expanding your opportunity universe, an outcome-independent mindset can help you achieve greater success and happiness in every aspect of your life. This powerful framework can transform the way you approach challenges and opportunities, ultimately leading to a more fulfilling and rewarding existence.


In conclusion, the outcome independence framework is a powerful mindset that enables you to find success and value in every possible outcome. By redefining success and focusing on the positive aspects of each situation, you can transform your perspective and approach to challenges, making you more resilient and adaptable in the face of adversity. This mindset involves strategically tweaking circumstances and planning ahead to ensure that even the worst-case scenario has some form of added value.

Remember that the framework works in uncertain situations, whenever you lack control over the outcomes. It should not replace effort and discipline. Wherever you are in control, and whenever you can preemptively do something about a potential negative outcome, you should.

By adopting this framework, you can shift your focus from solely pursuing specific goals to embracing a broader range of possibilities. With this mindset, you can redefine failure as an opportunity for growth and continuously develop your skills and abilities, regardless of the outcome.

Embracing the outcome independence framework can supercharge your life by enabling you to take more risks, always win, and expand your opportunity universe. This mindset fosters personal growth, boosts creativity, and enhances problem-solving skills. It also reduces stress and improves overall mental well-being, leading to a more fulfilling and rewarding existence. By focusing on the benefits of this approach, you can unlock your full potential and achieve greater success and happiness in every aspect of your life.

Instead of dreading unpredictability, we can embrace it, mining every result for valuable insights and experiences. Start today by reevaluating your goals and finding ways to add value to each possible outcome, and watch as your life transforms for the better.



Christian A. Schröder

Founder & CEO of 10x Value Partners. One of the world’s most successful angel investors. Follow me to learn my secrets.